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Campaign 2012 Predictions

Brian K. Noe · December 19, 2011 ·

 I thought I’d get this on the record one more time. Since early October, I’ve been predicting that Ron Paul will win the Iowa caucuses. He has a large and fanatical organization on the ground in the Hawkeye State, and the unique nature of the primary process there makes that an advantage. It appears that he’s now leading in the latest polls there, after showing steady gains in recent weeks.

Ron Paul back on top in Iowa, new poll says. [CSMonitor.com] – Rep. Ron Paul of Texas is now leading the pack in Iowa as Newt Gingrich’s support fades.

I have also been predicting that the GOP will eventually nominate a Romney/Gingrich ticket, an idea that seemed laughable to many at the time I first mentioned it.

As to the general election, I believe that it will be a very close contest, with a large chunk of the voting public lending their support to a third-party candidate (and perhaps a fourth). Ultimately, I do believe that Obama will prevail.

If you have thoughts or predictions, I’d love to hear them. Feel free to leave a comment.

Filed Under: Commentary, News Tagged With: Politics

Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Coonsey says

    December 20, 2011 at 1:23 pm

    I believe that Huntsman is moving up. He’s slowly visiting all the talk shows — getting KNOWN by voters. He will either suddenly get a win in New Hampshire that will push him to the front or he will be asked to run as VP with Romney. Two mormons – historical. I’ve said many times, with his credentials he should be on top right now. He has Governorship, ambassadorship, foreign policy experience and was successful with all of them. Even got nominated by Obama for China so that proves he’s acceptable to Dems in some cases. He’s also LIKEABLE in my view.

    His words, “The people are getting screwed. We have two deficits. … We have a jobs problem on one side and a trust deficit on the other,” — and —- “Our core is broken, we are weak, we have got to strengthen ourselves.” — would resinate with voters I believe. I think Obama would have an even harder time up against him than with Romney.

    • Noebie says

      December 20, 2011 at 1:37 pm

      a paul win in iowa and a huntsman win in new hampshire would certainly shake things up 🙂

  2. Elizabeth Varriano says

    December 28, 2011 at 4:29 pm

    So happy to find that Ron Paul is leading the polls in the State of Iowa. He deserves the White House.

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