I thought I’d get this on the record one more time. Since early October, I’ve been predicting that Ron Paul will win the Iowa caucuses. He has a large and fanatical organization on the ground in the Hawkeye State, and the unique nature of the primary process there makes that an advantage. It appears that he’s now leading in the latest polls there, after showing steady gains in recent weeks.
Ron Paul back on top in Iowa, new poll says. [CSMonitor.com] – Rep. Ron Paul of Texas is now leading the pack in Iowa as Newt Gingrich’s support fades.
I have also been predicting that the GOP will eventually nominate a Romney/Gingrich ticket, an idea that seemed laughable to many at the time I first mentioned it.
As to the general election, I believe that it will be a very close contest, with a large chunk of the voting public lending their support to a third-party candidate (and perhaps a fourth). Ultimately, I do believe that Obama will prevail.
If you have thoughts or predictions, I’d love to hear them. Feel free to leave a comment.